Capalaba vs North Pine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAP
5 - 2
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IPS
0 - 1
CAP
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
EAS
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
North Pine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
NPI
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 5
HPH
16%
19%
66%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
7 - 1
NPI
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
0 - 5
MIT
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |