Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 4
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
9 - 0
CAP
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
OLY
8%
14%
79%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
SUN
10%
14%
75%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
2 - 0
CAP
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
GCK
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
2 - 3
EAS
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 2
LOG
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 0
GOL
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |