Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAP
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
QUE
5 - 1
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 7
HPH
37%
21%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAP
5 - 2
IPS
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 3
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 3
ROC
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 3
MIT
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
LOG
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |