Capalaba vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 3
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
7 - 1
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 2
ROC
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAP
74%
14%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IPS
1 - 3
PEN
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 0
IPS
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
5 - 0
IPS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 1
QUE
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
5 - 0
IPS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |