Canelas 2010 vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 4
CAS
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 2
BRA
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
12 - 0
REG
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 0
CAN
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 5
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 0
CHA
10%
18%
71%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FEL
3 - 1
FAF
47%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FEL
3 - 0
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
FEL
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |