Cambrian United vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
6º
35
2º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
TAF
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
LLA
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 1
AAF
78%
14%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 3
CAM
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 5
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
5 - 0
PON
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BDG
1 - 1
PON
10%
15%
76%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PON
3 - 4
CWM
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
4 - 1
PON
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |