Calera vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ECG
1 - 1
CAL
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SON
23%
25%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VSA
5 - 1
CAL
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 0
MCB
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
SON
14%
22%
64%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VSA
5 - 1
GUA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
MCB
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CTI
2 - 2
GUA
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
SCR
36%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |