Caldense vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
GAM
17%
26%
58%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAH
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAL
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 3
TFC
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 2
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |