Caldas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 2
CAL
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
EVN
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
1DE
1 - 0
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
ORI
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SER
3 - 0
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |