Caldas vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |