Caldas São Jorge vs Sanguêdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+522%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas São Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
CSJ
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CSJ
3 - 1
LOB
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
CSJ
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CSJ
1 - 1
MOS
50%
23%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
2 - 1
CSJ
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sanguêdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
SMA
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LOB
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MOS
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |