Caldas Novas vs Aparecida GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 1
CNO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
2 - 0
IPO
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 4
CNO
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 3
GOI
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 0
UMU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
4 - 0
APA
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 4
CNO
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |