Caldas vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 0
CEC
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 1
AME
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 2
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
ITU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |