Lecco vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FOL
4 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACL
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEC
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
PER
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NUO
1 - 2
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 2
SAS
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 0
USP
67%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIN
0 - 0
PAG
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 2
BSL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 0
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |