Lecco vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAP
0 - 1
LEC
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
PIA
28%
25%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
LEG
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOR
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACC
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |