Lecco vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 2
RIM
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LEC
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
TRE
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEC
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
67%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUN
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
MAN
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 1
MAN
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |