Desenzano Calvina vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 2
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DES
5 - 3
LEO
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
DES
4 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
DES
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
DES
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
FOL
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 2
FOL
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |