Calasparra vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
JUM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
CIE
51%
25%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
POZ
0 - 1
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 0
MUL
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
SGI
47%
26%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CIU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
YEC
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PUL
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |