Calasparra vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAL
83%
11%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 2
IND
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 1
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PIN
4 - 3
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
JUM
2 - 2
HOR
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
AGU
2 - 1
JUM
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
JUM
0 - 0
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
IND
0 - 0
JUM
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
JUM
3 - 0
LAS
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |