Calasparra vs Cuarto Distrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAL
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LUM
3 - 1
CAL
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
MOR
19%
24%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
MAZ
3 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 2
PLU
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MOL
2 - 3
CUA
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CUA
2 - 1
CEU
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIN
0 - 1
CUA
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 0
LOR
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |