Calamonte vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
ADL
2 - 1
CAL
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
UDF
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
CAL
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAL
68%
20%
13%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
TRU
3 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRU
40%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 0
VAL
75%
17%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LOB
1 - 0
TRU
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |