Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AAC
1 - 1
CAL
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 3
SED
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 0
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
IVR
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IVR
0 - 0
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
PSG
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 3
ARR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |