Caico EC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEC
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
3 - 1
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
ARN
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 60 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POT
3 - 0
CEC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
CEC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |