Caico EC vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 0
CEC
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 2
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEC
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
3 - 1
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
ARN
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 60 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAL
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |