Caico EC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ARN
5 - 0
CEC
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 3
ALE
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
GUA
21%
26%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
ALE
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |