Cagliari vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 1
OLB
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
HSV
4 - 1
CAG
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAG
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
5 - 0
ACD
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |