Caerleon vs West End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
LID
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
3 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAF
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
West End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WES
2 - 2
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
WES
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WES
1 - 0
BFC
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PON
2 - 2
WES
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
WES
1 - 3
BRI
42%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |