Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
NWP
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BFC
5 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAF
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 1
TAF
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
GOY
4 - 3
TAF
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
5 - 2
TAF
77%
14%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
TAF
2 - 4
GOY
14%
20%
67%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |