Caerleon vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WES
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
PON
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
TON
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GOY
0 - 2
PON
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 2
PON
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |