Caerleon vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
3 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAF
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 6
GOY
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
DIN
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
LID
2 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
LID
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LID
2 - 1
BFC
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LID
2 - 1
PON
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LID
5 - 0
WES
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |