Caerau Ely vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 3
FLI
24%
19%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
CAE
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GOY
2 - 4
CAE
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 5
TAF
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
TAF
4 - 0
TAT
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
WES
2 - 0
TAF
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAF
8%
16%
76%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
TAF
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
TAF
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |