Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 3
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 2
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
LHA
0 - 0
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
REN
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
DIJ
2 - 2
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |