Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 2
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
CAE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
MPL
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
MPL
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 4
LIL
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 2
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 2
LIL
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |