Caen II vs Chambly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
16º
16º
57
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
STP
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 2
GRA
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 1
POI
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
3 - 0
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POI
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |