Cachorros Guadalajara vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cachorros Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CIM
2 - 3
CAC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 1
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 0
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CAC
1 - 1
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
CAC
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 2
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
REY
1 - 3
TEP
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TEC
0 - 2
TEP
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TEP
3 - 0
DUR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |