CP Cacereño vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
CPC
4 - 0
TOM
55%
19%
26%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CPC
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
CPC
3 - 3
PUL
46%
20%
34%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
CFP
3 - 0
CPC
61%
18%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
CPC
4 - 0
SEG
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
NUM
5 - 0
MAN
81%
11%
8%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
TOM
4 - 0
NUM
66%
17%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 1
TAL
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ZAM
2 - 2
NUM
47%
22%
32%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 2
SLA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |