Vélez Sarsfield vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAU
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
ALB
1 - 1
VEL
41%
29%
29%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
CHA
0 - 2
VEL
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 11 | 70 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VEL
4 - 3
HUR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1980 |
RIV
3 - 2
SPC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SPC
0 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |