CA Lugano vs Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 0
LUG
31%
29%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
CLA
52%
26%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
LUG
18%
25%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 0
ARR
55%
24%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
YUP
1 - 0
JUU
39%
26%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
JUU
3 - 2
DPA
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CBA
0 - 0
JUU
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
JUU
3 - 0
MUÑ
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |