Lanús vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 6
ARG
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BOC
3 - 1
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 2
HUR
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
41%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |