Defensores de Formosa vs CD Mandiyú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 0
DDF
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
DDF
2 - 0
LAG
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 1
DDF
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DDF
6 - 0
DML
59%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PRM
1 - 1
DDF
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mandiyú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 0
DDF
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DCM
1 - 0
PTR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PTR
1 - 0
DCM
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SFE
0 - 4
DCM
18%
22%
61%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
CUA
0 - 1
DCM
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |