CA Bastia vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
5 - 0
CAB
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 1
CAB
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 1
PSG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAB
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 0
PSG
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
DRA
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
IVR
21%
28%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
IVR
4 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
IVR
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |