Alcalá CF vs Juventud Torremolinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MIJ
6 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 1
BNS
31%
24%
45%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
8 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 6
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALC
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Torremolinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
ALH
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 0
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
PUE
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
FUE
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |