Bury vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 0
CAM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 1
BCF
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BCF
1 - 3
GUL
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WYC
1 - 2
BCF
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 0
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
4 - 0
OPA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
COV
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 2
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
OXF
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |