Burscough vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHA
28%
21%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAM
3 - 0
BUR
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
6 - 0
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 4
ALI
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 1
BUR
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 2
WYA
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
6 - 0
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
PAD
35%
22%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
LBR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |