Burgos vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 0
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 0
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
RAC
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
RMC
1 - 2
BUR
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
AST
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAC
13%
23%
64%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
CEL
23%
24%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 0
COX
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |