Burgos U19 vs CD Móstoles U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
11º
8º
22
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 1
BCF
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 4
BCF
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
BUD
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
BCF
8%
16%
76%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
7 - 0
SAL
82%
11%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
GET
18%
22%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
MOS
44%
24%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
MOS
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
ADA
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |