Buochs vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
BUO
22%
20%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
YOB
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RUS
0 - 4
BUO
13%
16%
70%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ZOF
2 - 5
BUO
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
ZOF
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KUS
0 - 0
ASC
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 0
ASC
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 3
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |