Bumamuru vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bumamuru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
DYN
2 - 1
BUM
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BUM
2 - 0
KAY
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
ANM
1 - 0
BUM
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DYN
2 - 0
BUM
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUM
3 - 1
RMU
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
NGO
1 - 0
BUJ
40%
29%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NGO
0 - 0
DYN
44%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 2
NGO
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NGO
1 - 0
ANM
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
RMU
1 - 0
NGO
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |