Bulleen Lions vs Geelong SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BUL
3 - 1
DOV
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
AVH
2 - 0
BUL
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 2
KIN
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
BUL
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 1
SOU
11%
15%
75%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Geelong SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GEE
7 - 2
DOV
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEE
1 - 3
MEL
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GEE
3 - 1
BSC
55%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
GEE
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |