Bulle vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 0
BUL
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ECH
7 - 0
BUL
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BUL
3 - 2
FCS
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LAU
3 - 1
BUL
39%
23%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
2 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
5 - 0
NAT
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 2
LEM
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAT
5 - 0
FRI
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MEY
4 - 2
NAT
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |